In the cryptocurrency market, as in the world of betting, values ​​fluctuate constantly. At times we could say that they are unpredictable and that you never know what can happen tomorrow. Just as the value on the stock market of a brand collapses and plummets due to news. In the world of betting, the odds change constantly and this is where we are going to focus.

In sports betting odds mark the probability estimated by bookies that an event occurs. The mystery occurs when quotas go up or down drastically.

If a quota lowers its value 2'10 to 1'55, what is it telling us?

Should we interpret that this significant drop implies a greater number of real probabilities or is it an illusion?

Did we really go from having 47% (2'10) to 64.5% (1'55) of REAL chances of winning?

THE TRUTH is always surrounded by darkness and the answer to this question is NO!

I will put a match that was played yesterday as an example: Hoffenheim u19 - Real Madrid u19 (Uefa Youth League) Playoffs 1/4 Final.

The reason for this match is that being a youth competition there is not much information about the players, the teams, the casualties and the rules of the competition. This multiplies the RISK factor.

As you can see, the team's odds came down hours before the game. The picture shows an average share of 1.80, in the morning they were at 2.10 and 1 hour before the game at an ILOGICA quota, without meaning ... 1'55 the visitor victory.

Sometimes the information circulates that this happens because a lot of money is put into a team's victory but in my experience most of the time it has nothing to do with reality and I am going to explain the case of yesterday in the Uefa Youth League.

1) The rules of the competition established that the match would be played in GERMANY (in the Hoffenheim field).

First handicap against quota reductions. Play outside your country and in the field of your rival with your audience.

2) In the history of the competition the statistics clearly favor the teams that play the eliminatory at home.

Second handicap against the MYSTERIOUS GRAND DOWN OF FEE.

3) Real Madrid had to travel to Germany. Something obvious but again is a handicap against the visitor.

4) Hoffenheim played their last match on 29/03 (League) while Real Madrid played their last match on 30/03 (League). One day later than his rival and to that we added the trip to Germany.

5) In Germany the weather was very rainy and very cold. The technical qualities of many players of Madrid are diminished in the circumstances of rain.

As you can see the handicaps that I have named all against Real Madrid u19 (play outside, travel, less rest time, rain ...) however the bookies fell and lowered the shares of Real Madrid ...

Of course the bookies had knowledge of everything written here and more factors but decided to lower the value of the supposed favorite so that those who only look at the odds believe that the visiting team is clear favorite and bet on their favor thinking about making easy money. ..

NEVER KNOW EVERYTHING. Here is demonstrated an example of how bookies manipulate quotas without having a direct relationship with THE TRUTH.

It is clear that it is foul play and that this occurs in a very high number of occasions. Bookies manipulate quotas so that most create their quota values ​​as correct. The match finished 4-2 won Hoffenheim.

All the handicaps passed bill to Real Madrid and the bookies passed the bill to ALL THEIR CLIENTS who believed in their FAVORITE FEES.

The movement of the quotas always have a reason but we must distrust our BOOKIES.

Our error is your benefit so better to contrast the information and establish the real value by ourselves ..