Similarity to 1929 Great Depression

Similarity to 1929 Great Depression

By Snow Under Sun | SnowUnderSun | 2 May 2020


In the great crisis between 1929 and 1933, Dow Jones first fell 48% in the 2-month period, after 50% fib level of the decline was recovered with wedge rising in 5 months, the wedge breaks and the decline reaches 90% from peak to bottom in 3 years.

5b937e2c8437267223951efb16d2e8f28c34671f16b19e1dc3b8f5a8f3bb8677.jpeg

c435a98b44c7f0420b010cd7864972e963ac009e6c55a5029a78c254f7228192.jpeg

This time is also very similar to the previous 39% decrease in 1.5 months, 50% fib recovery with wedge rising, more likely to decrease.

S&P is also recovering the gold rate of the decline and seems to have been rejected for the time being.

The pandemic started to take effect in mid-March, despite the first quarter of the USA - shrank 4.8%, 30 million unemployed in 6 weeks.

It will be much worse due to the intense effects of the 2nd quarter pandemic.

If the stock markets see new bottoms with the 2nd wave, they will pull down all the instruments. Stock exchanges have done 6x in the last 12 years, so they can not tear by 30-39% decrease in a few months.

04e65b7a1ecf67cdcb5f560c18acaafce45ed0955107146625dd8cc9ed0dd465.jpeg

The only thing that has very similarities between the two periods is the FED's abnormal intervention. However, despite all the negative news, exchanges cannot continue to rise.

Because of the legal problems of Tether, stay in fiat exchanges can be safer way while waiting expecting a crash.

How do you rate this article?

33


Snow Under Sun
Snow Under Sun

A westerner in Thailand. Previously,13 years Sales Executive in a Forbes 500 company and 6 years HR executive in a multinational company. Crypto trader since 2015.


SnowUnderSun
SnowUnderSun

A westerner in Thailand. Crypto trader since 2015. Previously Sales Executive in a forbes 500 company.

Publish0x

Send a $0.01 microtip in crypto to the author, and earn yourself as you read!

20% to author / 80% to me.
We pay the tips from our rewards pool.