Ukraine war explained and how Bitcoin is persistently following the events for several months now


Gawd I hate war, I hate politics, I hate people in politics and their scummy ambitions that start conflicts that often lead to war without them going to the front lines themselves. But more on that later, I was actually writing a detailed Ukraine report covering 2014 to 2022, but I think I'll merge it into this one after comparing some of the recent events and how people holding Bitcoin react to them. Cause let's face it, it's not "Bitcoin" that's reacting to what's happening in Ukraine, it's certain holders who treat Bitcoin like a stock. Which btw reacted similarly today

 

So without further ado, I am now solemnly convinced this:

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Is related to this:

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For those not so caught up on warfare, disabling a country's air defenses is actually a big deal and it means Russia for the first time since 2014 engaged in a military operation beyond the disputed regions in Ukraine's east. But prior to this, the past couple of months US hysteria about a "massive invasion within 24 hours" or "100.000 soldiers alongside the borders" intelligence (and I say intelligence with a huge LOL) caused Bitcoin to react just about every time they made such a claim. Russia recognizing the breakaway region last Monday/Tuesday did something similar to the Bitcoin price because it did in fact mean war, since Ukraine of course is not about to let these regions go without a fight:

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Well, the current Ukraine president anyway, the previous one brought about after a Western coup, oh sorry, "transitional democracy" did just about anything that favored the EU and US, which is partially why the current president is trying to prosecute him for treason in the midst if all this. I don't care if he purchased coal or whatever from the eastern regions, him signing the Minsk agreement is something many in Ukraine were fiercely against because it de facto laid the ground work for partitioning the country. This is why Ukraine has never truly implemented the Minsk agreement btw and why Russia's patience ran out and it all led to what you're seeing now.

 

But how did it all come to this? Where did it start and by whom? This is where the Ukraine 2014 report comes in. For the sake of better understanding, we need to address 2 key criteria first: 1. Ukraine was a gas hub between Russia and the EU. One of their main sources of income were the transition fees they earned just for being there and 2. Ukraine started leasing the Crimea naval base to "a foreign country" since 1991. Crimea had been signed away from Russia to Ukraine in 1954 under the Soviet Union thus making it a foreign country to Russia after 1991 when the mutual borders of the Soviet Union ceased to exist. This, alongside the heavy industry and agricultural products, made Russia Ukraine's main economic and trading partner ever since 1991. Why was Brexit such a big deal? Because it divided Europe to it's very core. Few who truly understand what the consequences are will not tell you this but England leaving the EU is not a dilemma because the EU lost a member and "others will follow", they might, the core problem is it is putting the remaining EU members France, Germany, Spain and the Netherlands at odds with one another because to the Netherlands, England is a crucial trading partner, but not so much to Spain, which has Gibraltar in it's sights and France is bickering with the English over fishing and the channel where refugees are drowning. Don't even get me started on Scotland, Ireland and the northern Irish "border". Brexit also means the wealthy EU countries will all have to increase contributions to Brussels considerably, meaning take more from their own citizens which are already starting to make noise due to issues relating, housing, health care, farming and energy prices. These are sincerely dangerous times because with all these separate issues and conflicts ongoing, a wider conflict can happen just like that.

So how does the Brexit part fit into Ukraine? Some have already connected the dots: The very same people who are at odds with each other over their own little alliances, want to drag Ukraine in it. Well, maybe not in the EU since England already left, Poland is finding a new reason to clash with Brussels every day and we all know how the US thinks about it, but certainly Nato, their free trade bloc, within their sphere of influence and more importantly, away from Russia, which is where the US smells opportunity. When nations controlling 95% of the world's nuclear weapons are about to collide it should be cause for concern and above all full awareness, yet the latter is something that's lacking considerably. To put it mildly; If you think Ukraine has been "democratized" and that this war is about those who "fear their freedom and prosperity" you haven't been paying attention the past 8 years, either that or you've been taught by Dutch school textbooks. Let's take it from right there; The Netherlands. This is actually a very important country regarding the Ukraine fiasco, much more than people realize and I sincerely think the vast majority underestimates how devastatingly bad The Hague will go down in history in all this. The Netherlands was one of Europe's main backers for the EU-Ukraine associations agreement, which was a free trade agreement between the EU and Ukraine and even though the people of the Netherlands understood fully well that all the labor, animal well being and social rights they fought for and gradually build up over the past century, were all rapidly deteriorating due to their government integrating their country and economy with countries who had pretty much none. But despite all this, the EU associations agreement with Ukraine was not something that had a lot of animosity from the Dutch citizens, after all it's not as if they were about to integrate their trade with Saudi Arabia or war torn Libya, Ukraine was at the very least a stable nation and a democracy.

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As the negotiations were ongoing, Russia was also in talks with Kiev regarding them joining the EEU, which Ukraine eventually opted for after being pressure by both sides to abandon the other bloc's offer. This wasn't something EU leaders took lightly, because Kiev signing the EEU would mean the EU would lose many of the planned future ambitions they had regarding Ukraine and the EU as a whole. You remember that Dutch guy that almost became president of the EU after Juncker stepped down, but was sidelined because of his radical ideals in the end and the job went to Von der Leyen? He was just one of the numerous Western (all of which Nato member state) officials who after Kiev rejected the EU deal due to it not being nearly as lucrative as to what they were promised, went to Kiev on formal invite of the Yanukovich government and then started cheering on rioters attacking police, destroying government buildings and fighting to overthrow the democratically elected Ukrainian government. To put it to perspective, imagine Kim Jong Un standing in the streets of Amsterdam cheering on the people fighting police during one of the many protests that took place against the lock downs. How fast would all these Western propaganda monkeys run to their laptops and little social media accounts to cough up headlines like "Communist Korea is openly attacking democracy in Europe" or "Should we ignore diplomatic immunity and arrest Kim for the sake of freedom"? Yet all of them either ignored or downright applauded when this was happening in the streets of Kiev:

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For those who can't tell what's going on in the pictures, these are all EU and US officials in the streets if Kiev rallying Ukrainians against the country's government. The last guy btw is that Timmermans person we mentioned earlier and now vice president of the EU. At the time of the photo he was the foreign minister of the Netherlands. Damn that Russian interference in sovereign nation's democracy.

After the violence escalated in Ukraine and the effective overthrow of the government, many people and political parties within the EU were weary of continuing the EU-Ukraine associations agreement as intended since it was quite obvious the situation had changed. Ukraine was now in a state of war as Russia had reacted to the events in Kiev and moved in on Crimea and directly supported key figures who were mainly in the Eastern/Russian speaking parts of Ukraine that reject the foreign established Ukraine government. Not that any of that mattered of course to Brussels, they didn't go through all that just to back down now. So not only were opposition parties across the EU ignored, but in that very same Netherlands people started to demand a referendum on their country being dragged into a binding EU-Ukraine agreement. They did so the only way they knew how, by holding non-binding referendum. The law back then allowed the citizens of the Netherlands to hold such a referendum if there was enough interest and the results would be taken to consideration if the turnout was above 30%. Both these things happened and the results spoke for themselves with over 60% voting against such an agreement. So, their very own "fight for democracy" foreign minister would of course gladly support the undeniable outcome, especially after making such a big deal about "democracy" when it came to attacking the government in Ukraine right? Wrong!🤯

This is a rather old event, so we can even address certain apologists who claim that all this was "normal". The claim I hear most is that it was "an advisory referendum". Yeah, well so was Brexit, but guess what. At least the bunch in Brussels is consistent, I mean it's obviously no coincidence that those who ignored the Dutch referendum were the exact same ones trying to convince London to ignore theirs. Another vastly mentioned claim is that one of the main promises Yanukovich made as he ran for president was wanting to sign the EU trade agreement and that his failure to do so justified the events in February 2014. Well, if we were to go by that logic and coup everyone who didn't keep all their election promises, I sincerely doubt there would be a single government left standing in the world. Also the EU itself stepped back on several expectations Ukraine had from the agreement, shouldn't we be couping Brussels alongside Kiev then? The Netherlands itself btw has since the outcome of the referendum completely killed off the advisory referendum after a grand total of one referendum in the 3 years the law was implemented. I guess it's easier to claim your people support your involvement in coups and wars if you speak entirely for them😉 and I sincerely do think this was what did it for most people in the Netherlands. They are not to fond of EU expansion overall, but remember, no one was calling for referendums or against Ukraine joining them in the EU trade zone before the coup against the Ukrainian government which led to over 12.000 civilian deaths thus far incl MH17.

But this still leaves us with the key question we all have now: Will the Ukraine war lead to a wider war in Europe and include Nato? Remember that Ukrainian industry and naval base we talked about earlier? Not only has Russia retaken Crimea, but the vast majority of Ukraine's heavy industry and agricultural benefits are located in the east, without all this Ukraine is like a second Romania to Nato and the EU. By that I mean nothing more than a one way migrant move and recipient to Euros from Brussels and Dollars from Washington for hosting Nato weaponry. And we all know how fond England is of more migrants from East-Europe. This is partially why others were consistently pressuring Germany to abandon the Nord Stream 2 the same way they pressured Bulgaria to abandon the South Stream, if Ukraine lost even this they would truly be just another mouth to feed. Russia claims they have no intention of taking all of Ukraine and the US claims they have no intention of intervening in the Ukraine war. I wouldn't believe either of these claims if I were you, so it really depends if the partitioning of Ukraine and being left with the lesser parts is something the EU and US will accept and if having the Russian speaking population move to the lucrative eastern parts with a hostile western Ukraine is something Russia is willing to accept. If both of these things happen this could be a rather quick war, if not, we'll not see the end of this for years to come, just like how the Syria war is technically still ongoing.

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Geo-Political & Economical developments
Geo-Political & Economical developments

Things are almost never as they seem. If you sincerely think that world powers would spend their money and resources in order to just "help" citizens from foreign nations, you might want to ask yourself why they've been neglecting and out right murdering their own citizens for decades. What are their true motives for wanting to fund foreign (terror) groups, start global confrontations and wars? I'll let you in on a little secret; It has NOTHING to do with "human rights" nor "democracy".

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