We call that asymmetry…
That’s the key in trading.

I own crypto on one hand, but I short them on the other hand… not the same game.
And lately, I’ve added something else to the mix: I short oil too.

On Hyperliquid: https://app.hyperliquid.xyz/join/CRYPTOFAB

Let me explain.

Because today’s context matters. A lot.

Oil is not just “another asset” right now. It’s the macro trigger.

We’re sitting around ~$110 per barrel today after a +40% move in a month.
That’s not normal. That’s stress.

Why?

• Middle East conflict is disrupting supply routes (especially Hormuz)

• Inventories are draining fast, potentially toward critical levels

• Some analysts are openly talking about $120–150 oil if disruptions persist

• Inflation fears are coming back strong because of energy prices

So you have a very asymmetric setup.

If oil keeps pumping →
That’s not “good growth”. That’s a supply shock.

Markets read it as:

• inflation up

• rate cuts delayed

• liquidity tighter

And crypto? It suffers. Hard.

So my crypto shorts win.

But now flip it.

If oil dumps →
It probably means:

• de-escalation

• demand destruction already priced

• inflation easing

And then markets go risk-on again.

Crypto rebounds.

But here’s the key insight:

Both scenarios imply large moves. Not sideways.

That’s where the asymmetry comes from.

Because today, oil is sitting at the center of:

• geopolitics

• inflation expectations

• liquidity cycles

It’s not just a commodity. It’s a switch.

So by shorting oil and positioning in crypto (both directions), I’m not betting on one outcome.

I’m betting that something breaks.

And when something breaks:

• correlations spike

• reactions overshoot

• and that’s where the edge is

It’s not about being right on oil.

It’s about understanding that right now, oil is the trigger…
and crypto is the amplifier.

That’s why I trade both.