If the bull run starts tomorrow… most people still won’t make money.

They’ll see green. They’ll feel rich.

They’ll start doing the math in their head. “If this does another 2x…”
“If I just hold a little longer…”

I’ve done that math before.

The weird thing about bull markets is that making money is easy.

Keeping it is almost impossible.

When price starts moving fast, your brain changes.

You stop thinking about risk. You stop thinking about exits.

Selling feels stupid. Why would you sell something that’s going up every day?

You tell yourself you’re disciplined. You tell yourself you’ll take profits “soon.”

But soon never comes when candles are green.

I remember watching Bitcoin rip in past cycles.

Every dip looked tiny. Every rally felt justified.

When things finally turned, it didn’t feel like the end.
It felt like a healthy pullback.

That’s how it gets you.

Nobody thinks they’ll round trip their gains. But it happens quietly.

You don’t wake up one day and decide to give it all back.

You just hesitate once. Then twice.

Then you’re down 30% and telling yourself it’ll bounce.

And maybe it does. Until it doesn’t.

I’m not saying a bull run won’t happen. It probably will.

At some point price will move so fast that sitting in cash will feel unbearable.

Twitter will be euphoric. Everyone will look like a genius again.

That’s the part that scares me.

Because euphoria feels like clarity when you’re inside it.

You genuinely believe you’re making rational decisions.

You genuinely believe this time you’ll sell at the right moment.

Most people won’t.

They’ll increase position size as price rises.

They’ll rotate into riskier coins because “this is where the real gains are.”

They’ll use leverage once because “it’s obvious.”

It always feels obvious near the top.

I’m writing this as much for myself as anyone else.

Because I know how easy it is to get pulled in.

I know how convincing green candles can be.

If the bull run starts tomorrow, I want to remember this version of me.

The calm one. The skeptical one. The one thinking about exits before entries.

Maybe I’ll still mess it up. That’s possible.

But I’m starting to believe that surviving a bull market is harder than surviving a bear market.

It’s not being early that destroys you.

It’s refusing to leave when the music stops!