Hello everyone!

We are approaching a critical moment that could trigger significant volatility in the crypto market. On February 20th, the GDP (Gross Domestic Product) figures will be released. This data is the primary estimate of economic performance for the quarter and often has the most immediate impact on price action. While the data is collected quarterly, it is reported at an annualized rate for easier year-over-year comparison.

The Historical Context

Looking back at the data from July 30, 2025, the reported figure was higher than both the forecast and the previous year's number. As a result, we witnessed a noticeable dip in Bitcoin's price.

The Market Logic (Bullish vs. Bearish)

The relationship between the Dollar and Bitcoin is crucial here:

• Higher than Forecast: If the GDP comes in higher than expected, the USD strengthens, often leading to a market sell-off (Bearish for BTC).

• Lower than Forecast: If the GDP is lower than predicted, the USD weakens, which typically leads to an increase in Bitcoin's price (Bullish for BTC).

Tomorrow's Outlook

Current forecasts suggest a number lower than last year's. Now, we must wait and see what the actual announcement brings tomorrow.