Good morning/evening
Merry Christmas/ Happy holidays everyone.
Back in 2023 we started a new tradition in our house called guess the Bitcoin price on Christmas day, the winner would recieve $100 to buy the crypto of their choice. (I guess with inflation that should go up now lol!)
So what we do is write a price down on New Years day for the following Christmas, put them in a little pot and wait, then at midday ot Christmas day we open them and see who was closest. Friendly competition is healthy! I know it is hard enough to predict a Bitcoin price from day to day, yet alone year to year but luckily this is just for fun.
Looking back, I like to think we were running a fully fledged Bitcoin prediction market before prediction markets were cool. No tokens, no smart contracts, no odds, no on-chain settlement, just old school pen, paper, a pot, and bragging rights. Basically a pre Polymarket, low-liquidity, family only forecasting protocol, secured by vibes and Christmas spirit. If we’d tokenised it in 2023, launched a DAO, and added a meme logo, we could probably have raised a seed round by now! Instead, we settled for $100 prizes and mild smugness for my husband.
2023
The actual price was $43,161
Me $42,140, I was out by $1,021
David $42,365, he was out by $796
Our teenage son $45,000, he was out by $1,839
2024
The actual price was $96K at the time of opening our predictions.
Me $82,350 I was out by $13,650
David $88,500 He was out by $7,500
Our teenage son $75,000 He was out by $21,000
Some of these predictions are not too bad at all, it looks like David has been the closest in the last 2 years, so that brings us to this year and here we go.
2025
The actual price was $87,464 at the time of opening our predictions.
Me $115,00
David $96,500
Our teenage son $500,000 Either overly bullish or his alcohol consumption was high!
So for the 3rd year in a row, my husband was the closest, I must do better lol. So in 1 week we will write down our predictions for next Christmas day and seal them again.
Some of the comments from last years post
Yugocean noticed I had skipped 2025 and was going straight to 2026, all I can say is yes, I did have a glass of wine or 2!
Let's hope BTC price will get doubled in 2025!
BTC will soon hit 120k USD. The other side in me supposes a drastical drop of BTC down to 80k USD.
I'm guessing $150K for Bitcoin!
232,433 in USD as published in coin geko........Would have been nice
$85k - $90k, I’m estimating almost 100k at January 1st ($98k), & Maybe a pump & dip with the dip being around only $90K
As always, thank you for reading and enjoy the rest of your day, if you would like to join in with our family Bitcoin tradition for fun, just put your price prediction for next year in the comments. Or if you are really brave place your predictions on one of the now many prediction sites!
