Financial Markets

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Business cycles and fixed income securities

20 Jun 2023 2 minute read 0 comments fmiren

Cycles and bond yields Bond yields have a high and low point throughout business cycles. The best time to be invested in bonds is when long-term yields are at their cycle high because there’s an inverse relationship between yields and bond prices. By...

Business cycles and market volatility

19 Jun 2023 1 minute read 0 comments fmiren

Exogenous factors, such as major geopolitical events (wars, trade wars, regional conflicts, invasions etc.), can and did create significant volatility. For example, a geopolitical tension, even at a regional scale, can disrupt the oil market by decre...

State of the Market (06/18/23)

18 Jun 2023 2 minute read 1 comment Todd Mei PhD

Welcome to the free State of the Market report for the Art of the Bubble! ​ Our subscriber plans make use of the same base algorithm that our crypto hedge fund, 1.2 Capital, does. It’s modified in timeframe and weighting so you don’t have to stare at...

State of the Market (11/05/23)

5 Nov 2023 9 minute read 1 comment Todd Mei PhD

Welcome to the free version of the Art of the Bubble! Our paid plans make use of the same base algorithm that our crypto hedge fund, 1.2 Capital Management, does. We have two primary data offerings for stocks: (1) a risk parity “Bubble Portfolio...

State of the Market (10/08/23)

8 Oct 2023 6 minute read 0 comments Todd Mei PhD

Welcome to the free version of the Art of the Bubble! 1.2 Labs offers this Art of the Bubble bulletin for educational purposes. Our paid plans make use of the same base algorithm that our crypto hedge fund, 1.2 Capital Management, does. We have two p...

Business cycles and its impact on credit risk

16 Jun 2023 2 minute read 0 comments fmiren

  The level of credit risk varies over and responds to business cycles maybe not very directly but in a systematic way. Credit risk reaches its peak during recessions when corporate defaults are common across the economy. Therefore, credit risk premi...

State of the Market (12/17/23)

17 Dec 2023 3 minute read 0 comments Todd Mei PhD

Get the Full Free Version of The Art of the Bubble Newsletter here. The Macro Situation Data-driven (adjective): guided by the collection of data and evidence when making key decisions; the mode of the starship USS Enterprise when helmed by the and...

State of the Market (05/19/24)

19 May 2024 4 minute read 0 comments Todd Mei PhD

Get the Full Free Version of The Art of the Bubble Newsletter here.   The Macro Situation laggard (noun): a person who is slow in progressing or falls behind; a fancy way to refer to slowly updating factors in the economy. ―...

State of the Market (04/28/24)

28 Apr 2024 4 minute read 0 comments Todd Mei PhD

Get the Full Free Version of The Art of the Bubble Newsletter here.   The Macro Situation   deux coups (noun): two strikes, as in to strike twice with one stone; double whammy;the transition period of the economy when consumers and investors get h...

State of the Market (04/21/24)

21 Apr 2024 4 minute read 0 comments Todd Mei PhD

Get the Full Free Version of The Art of the Bubble Newsletter here. The Macro Situation no landing (noun): what conspiracy theorists believe happened on the moon; the state of the economy when 3.5% becomes the new inflation target....